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Originally posted by TPM:
Stats, there is a job for you! I suppose there aren't too many. I think that is how many look at it as a wasted pick, pick someone that might have a better chance.
What percentage do you suppose would “not too many” be?
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Who might have a better chance than a player who grew up around baseball and may have been blessed with the right genes.
I doubt many would have “a better chance”, but I don’t know that those with that better chance have proven to be any better than those who didn’t grow up “around baseball”.
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The reality is that most players will not make it whether their dad or anyone else in the family did.
Of course “most” won’t, but that’s not the issue. To me the issue is, if one out a million regular kids without that advantage makes it, if two out a million with the advantage make it, it might even still be reasonable. But what if its 5 in a million or even more? Doesn’t that at least beg the question of are the “best” really getting chosen?
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What is interesting is that most of the players drafted who have fathers that work in the profession, their sons head off to college first.
I hope that’s true, but I’ve never seen any real proof of it. Of the several kids I’m on speaking terms with their “baseball” parents who got drafted right out of HS, every single one encouraged the kid to sign. Of the ones who encourage the kids to go to college, I suspect most now that the kid would never do much more than bounce around the MiL, and they weren’t willing to continue supporting a lifestyle the kid wasn’t earning.
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That right there tells you how little the chance is of getting to the show. You might be drafted by a name, but after that you have to prove it was YOU who deserved to be there.
College is a better option for most players unless the player is almost ML ready, which most are not.
Perhaps you didn’t notice that in my question I said. “professional ball players”, not ML ball players. There aren’t many players who skip the Mil, so that becomes the first real opportunity to make it to the ML. If spots are being taken by nepotism, there’s no way to tell what might have been is all I’m saying.