Excuse the tardy response. Was on travel. Thanks for the advice. Gov (and all others). I find myself debating this back and forth, and I am hoping that many may have had similar issues working the pros and cons.
Below are my thoughts unvarnished. My 2017 was a primaty pitcher and as such waiting out till the rising senior Fall was reasonable so as to project him as best as he possibly could (velo, size, breaking pitches, command, etc). Fall of his Junior year he showcased at amps where several schools noticed and kept him on their radar. Then in Summer/Fall of Senior year the offers came.
My 2020 is a switch hitting SS, and as such the worry is that those spots and far fewer on college rosters than pitchers. For example my 2017's Patriot League school has 10 new commits (6 pitchers, 1 IF, 2 OF, 1 C). If this ratio hold, the concern is middle infielders account for 10-15% of each recruiting class. If that logic were true, would waiting out be counter productive? I agree that it is best to showcase when at the peak of ability in terms of size, strength, skill - however, the downside could be that roster spots might get limiting.
In our case, 2017 has very good defensive skills, and has a great plate approach from either side. Waiting another year would undoubtedly improve on the speed, strength, exit velo, defensive range, etc. The HS 2020 plays on is very good and produces a lot of good MIF players. However, the opportunities for players HS to showcase outside are very limited and as such visibility becomes an issue as they do not attend events like PG, etc till Junior year.
Would showcasing in November at the Showball/Headfirst enable him to get on some boards of the schools he is interested in? The hope is that the HC/RC will be able to see the potential and project out while keeping him on their boards for a second look in summer at a HF/Showball showcase in Summer 2018. Then we could do individual college camps in fall 2018 (Fall of Junior year).
Basically a choice between Early exposure versus Later Exposure given that the the players is a position player and not a Pitcher.