I thought this might be a good conversation ...
This discussion involves players with pro potential. We’re not discussing Bryce Harper as a teen. All prospects are not created equal. We’re talking where many poster’s sons on this board fit and their son’s teammates and friends.
When my son was sixteen a pro scout told him he had pro potential based on his baseball skills, build and athleticism at that point in time. I told him to tune it out and keep doing everything you’re doing with baseball. But don’t stop getting top grades. He was in the gifted program since it started in third grade.
My son has met friends/former teammates of mine who made the majors for a sniff and those who stuck for a five years or longer MLB career. A few became career baseball guys. But most of my friends washed out at some level of A ball. Except one their son’s washed out before making it. The concierge at our clubhouse had a brother drafted high who told my son other than playing life in the minors sucks.
My son seemed to focus on one friend I met when he became my LL assistant. This friend was an All American pitcher at an SEC and drafted high. The friend decided it was time to retire from baseball when he was sent back to AAA for the fourth straight year at age twenty-eight. My son decided he didn’t want to end up like him starting real life at twenty-nine.
My son researched the numbers on who makes it and who doesn’t. 84% of American MLBers come from the first ten rounds. Another 10% come from 11-20. He decided if not selected in the top twenty rounds he wouldn’t sign. This was his mindset entering college.
He also added, “You didn’t sign.” My response was I was picked in a round so late and insignificant baseball didn’t see the need for it to exist anymore.
So, here’s the question based on a poster a few years ago believing this way and his son believing this way ...
Does a player have a better chance of making the majors if he’s all in I’m going to make it and academics is very secondary? Chose the best baseball college you can play. The academics don’t matter. Just stay eligible. Focus totally on baseball. If/when baseball doesn’t work out then take a look at the rest of your life.
My son had an if/then, academics first mindset to college ball. I believe it’s the right approach. But I sometimes wonder if it mentally held him back. “I have other options” worked out very well for him. He has a great job. But does it mentally hold players back? For those who sign does it prompt them to bail early. I know a high pick who left the minors after two years. Baseball was his dream. But he decided going to work for dad and eventually taking over a lucrative business was a better route than busses and Econo Lodges.
Contrary to the “all in on baseball” philosophy making the majors for most players is like going to Vegas, walking up to the roulette table and pushing in all your chips on 00.