This topic pertains to the average college prospects and not the upper tier or lower tier prospects. The kid who knows he's an easy P5 sign, or the kid who is probably limited to D3 or low level Juco, doesn't probably have the same concerns around decisions right now at this time as the average college prospects.
if you are in the class of 2021, and you don't have an offer now to play college baseball, you probably want to get one soon. (I think we can all agree on that one. There's 9 months left on your clock and it's ticking.)
What about the 22s and 23s? I see some 22s that are now already committed and even a few 23s. Almost all are for good D1 programs. (I don't see any committed to D2 or D3 yet.)
For the 23s, unless you are getting good money from your dream school, maybe it makes sense to wait a bit before committing and wait and see what's going on with rosters, etc., this coming spring? For certain, if I was a 2023, I would not be committing to a D2 or D3 in September 2020. Too soon for that, even in our world situation today.
For me, now, the group who has the trickiest decision at this time is the 22s.
For a 2022, probably still no need to commit to a D3 now. Still too early. But, probably couldn't hurt to have a few on your radar, just in case, to know if you want to go there - if it came to that later on. But what about D1 and D2 now for the 22s?
If I were a 22 and had an offer now for a really attractive D1, I would commit at this time, all things considered. But, I would also take a hard look a roster realities too. In a normal world, a lot of kids going D1 are going to transfer after freshman year because it didn't work out. The situation in the NCAA today isn't going to make that freshman attrition situation any better. So, be smart on that D1 commit now if you are a 2022 and avoid going to a school for one year and then having to transfer to another school and maybe having to bounce down in the process.
But what about 2022s and D2 now? I can't find any 2022s in the past who committed to a D2 in the fall of his junior year. And, I don't see any announcing it now. Maybe that's because D2s normally don't look at kids in the fall of their junior year? Maybe they typically look at them the summer after their junior year and look to commit in the fall of their senior year?
But that's under normal times and these are not normal times.
Anyway, those are my thoughts and I am no expert. What are your thoughts for the average college prospects in the classes of 2021, 2022 and 2023 with respect to decisions and commitments at this time?
