quote:
IMO, the only sure thing at 14 years old is a coordinated 6 ft. 8 in. basketball player.
In fact there is no sure thing at age 17 either.
I'm not arguing here and understand why someone might think these pre high school showcases are a waste of time and money. I kind of felt the same way a couple years ago and still not positive about anything. But because I think we are the only ones who have done the pre high school stuff, here aree a few other things to think about.
Jb,
I have seen several “sure things” even younger than 14. I was quoted in a newspaper saying Ryan Sweeney is the most talented kid to ever come out of our area and if he stays healthy he will play in the Big Leagues some day. He was 13 years old at the time! Last year he was in the Big Leagues at 21 years old.
Others we’ve first seen at age 13 who (not just us) we pretty much knew they would reach the top were Delmon Young and Justin Upton. We have seen a large number of top draft picks and college players the first time at age 14.
On the other side of the debate, we could say things probably would have turned out the same had we not seen these kids until they were 15-16. And yes, we’ve seen the 13-14 year old super stars who were very physically mature and got passed up by others over the years.
There was a RHP from Texas who was legendary at 13-14. He was bigger and stronger than others. He was in the low 90s at age 14 and he was low 90s at age 18. This pitcher was still drafted because he is good.
I’m not sure I’m completely sold on pre-high school showcases. They are not a major emphasis for us. I’ve had good baseball people tell me how they think those events would be of more value, combining the showcase experience with instruction and education.
One thing that few consider is our major job is finding and identifying talent. Identifying talent at a very young age can be of value to others more than the actual player. And this identification is not publicized like when we identify an older player. Also this allows us to keep players within their own age bracket in the beginning. Everyone understands that most 13-14 year olds can’t compete with 17-18 year olds.
Several years ago we started doing underclassmen events. The scouting director for the D’Rays at that time questioned the importance of these evnts geared to players too young for recruiting and the draft. He said “we don’t follow freshmen and sophomores in high school” “All our effort is geared towards the draft class, we don’t care about the younger kids”.
My reply was… Well you should care! He asked Why! This is fairly close to what I told him.
Let’s say you have two players who have pretty much identical ability and size. Let’s say pitchers the same size that both throw 92 mph with good mechanics and they appear equal in every way. In other words you could almost flip a coin as to who you would select.
Now let’s say you have a 5 year track record on both pitchers to look at and it looked like this…
Age 14 - Pitcher A was 5’6 and threw 73 mph
Age 14 – Pitcher B was 6’0 and threw 86 mph with a good curveball
Age 15 – Pitcher A was 5’9 and threw 79 mph
Age 15 – Pitcher B was 6’2 and threw 90 mph with a good curveball
Age 16 – Pitcher A was 6’2 and threw 86 mph with a good change
Age 16 – Pitcher B was 6’3 and threw 92 mph with good curveball
Age 17 – Pitcher A was 6’4 and threw 90 mph with good curve and change
Age 17 – Pitcher B was 6’5 and threw 93 mph with good curve and change
Age 18 – Pitcher A was 6’5 and threw 93 mph
Age 18 – Pitcher B was 6’5 and threw 93 mph
Now would there be any importance in knowing that history on each player? Which pitcher is likely to be better next year? That is the obvious data, but now let’s look at other things that data might show you. It could show that pitcher A has an outstanding work ethic based on the numbers while pitcher B was possibly more gifted. It’s possible that pitcher A may still grow some and based on the history he is more likely to keep improving.
The scouting director looked at me and said… “Jerry, I think you’re on to something here!”
I don’t think pre-high school showcases are necessary at all for the players (that I will agree with), however they are important to us and can be important to others. We love to see and track the best talent at any age. There have been young kids reach the highest levels in Tennis, Golf, and other sports. Joe Nuxhall once pitched in the big leagues at age 15. Bob Feller was an outstanding pitcher at age 16. Those things can’t happen under the current rules, but there will always be young people who can compete and out perform much older players.
Then there is always just plain opportunity. I believe the sooner we know about a talented young player the more we can possibly help him. Sometimes those opportunities come from the top travel clubs that can do a lot to develop players and provide the highest level of competition. JB, not every talented young player gets the opportunity to play against the high level competition. The East Cobbs, Midland Redskins, Florida Bombers and other top programs scout our young events hard! I know there will be a difference in opinion as to the value of playing on a top program at such a young age, but these top programs can be very important to a players future. In fact, we often see the top young players because of those programs. And of course USA Baseball is among the most interested in pre high school age players. There have been players represent our country who have yet to play varsity baseball.
Finally (and I apologize for the length) Those most talented young players who are with the very best programs already, don’t really need pre high school showcases. Nobody NEEDS pre high school showcases, but they’re not necessarily worthless to everyone. And justbaseball I very much respect your opinion and share your thought on the most important thing of all… HAVE FUN, learn and enjoy the game, don’t turn it into the most serious thing there is. We do see too many people getting caught up in that trap.
It’s great to have a place to discuss these kind of things.