I am interested in setting up a mathematical equation to quantify pitching. Beginning with velocity (which carries the greatest weight) I multiply the result by the "X" factors: "Stuff", "Projection", and "Mental Makeup". Stuff includes movement, deception, and location. Mental makeup is competitiveness, family background, etc. The results of the math only apply to pitchers of the same age.
I give "stuff" and "projection" the following range (between .90 and 1.10): .90 (poor), .95 (below average), 1.00 (average), 1.05 (above average), 1.10 (excellent). "Mental make" ranges between .95 and 1.05 (narrower range due to less important factor).
RESULTS
RHP Brandon Wyman throws 87. His stuff is a .95 (below average), his projection is through the roof at 1.10 and he comes from a dysfunctional family (.95). John's score is 86.37
RHP Peabody Emerson throws 90. His stuff is 1.05 (above average), his projection is .95 (below average) and his makeup is 1.00. His score is 89.78.
I was hoping to get some feedback from you folks to help me improve my mathematical model. Are my "X" factors wrong? Too much weight to one or the other? What do you think?
Original Post
