I believe that there are 2 types of people responding to this post. #1, the person who bases all of their beliefs off of stats and charts and "averages". Then there is those who base their beliefs on the fact that a kid can't have HIS individual projection based off stats, charts, and averages of OTHERS, but believe instead that a kids projection is based off of a his own belief, desire, heart, and work ethic to get better and increase his talent. True, averages may be good indicators, but I don't think that you can throw every kid into a pool of numbers and say that they're finished, done, over, nothing more to gain because the stastics say so. True, it may just be "wishful thinking", but I believe wishful thinking coupled with determination can carry a kid a lot further than simply saying, "well, your 17, you've peaked kid, the book says so." But hey, that's just my humble opinion, but after over a century of baseball and we still can't figure out velocity and guys like Wagner, maybe we should just put it to rest, that we won't know a kids projection until the time comes, and either he's got it or he doesn't.
I enjoy reading CADad's numbers. It is a small sampling of players in time. It is fun stuff. He will tell you that. Kinda of like chiropractic medicine (Mans attempt to find order in chaos). You wouldn't take your son's sore elbow to one....
