quote:
for the top players, doesn't matter, talent talks over long distances....for the middle of the pack you cannot "get behind" when talent is equal and you are seeking "Blue Chip Crumbs".
O44,
I have a much different take regarding the top players. Talent might talk over long distance, but still needs to be seen by the right people. We have just seen too many examples of talent all of a sudden showing up in the right place at the right time and everything changes. It amazes us at times how many players are missed or simply not turned in for other reasons.
Bobble probably knows the Joey Votto story. For sure Joey Votto knows the story. We have seen many Joey Votto situations. Carl Crawford was being recruited as a football and basketball player before becoming well known nationally. Jon Gilmore would have been drafted, but nowhere around the first round where he ended up had he not performed at the right places. If everyone knew who these top guys are, they would mostly all be playing for the USA National team while in high school. As hard as we try, we still miss some "top" players every year. How do we explain the players who come out of DIII colleges and get drafted early or make the Big Leagues? Were they not "top" guys? If projection is the secret to scouting... Why do so many high school players get drafted in a decent round and then not at all out of college? Why do so many high school kids who are drafted late or not even on the draft board become early round picks out of college. I'm not talking about the signability types, but the not so well known guys (Nationally) out of high school. If everyone knew the top guys, this scouting thing wouldn't be so difficult and inexact.
I know most people think the top guys are all well known and to a certain extent that is true. However, most of the top guys are players who have done all these things to become well known top guys. Every once in awhile the "top" guys have not gone to any higher profile events. They still get drafted early in some cases. Roscoe Crosby, Colt Griffin, etc. Often these guys don't pan out as top guys. Maybe this would have been discovered had the scouting community seen them play against the very best possible competition before drafting them.
Exposure is an over played word, but yet it needs to be understood. If someone cares to look up the word exposure it doesn't mean it is always a positive thing. Exposing someone can be either postive or negative.
Bottom line... Often people say "so and so" talented player didn't need to do anything. He would have been a first round pick no matter what. Everyone knew who he was. While that is true sometimes, somewhere along the way he was not that well known. If we look at all the early round high school draft picks over the recent years, there is one thing that most have in common. Most were well known nationally and didn't get that way by only staying at home and playing ball.
Fungo's son was a well known player out of high school. I understand Fungo when he talks about not needing to spend money going to a lot of showcases. However, trying hard to be humble her... If we don't know a player... chances are he is not well known nationally! Certainly we would be part of that everyone knows him scenario. We had heard about Fungo’s son through scouting channels and we knew he had played a high level of summer baseball. But it was the East Coast Pro Showcase in Wilmington NC where we and many others first saw him play. He was extremely talented BTW! Did he need the ECP to receive more options? I don’t know for sure, but I would be very surprised if that showcase didn’t help create even more interest. In fact, I’d be shocked. There were simply too many scouts in attendance to think otherwise. Also it was then that we placed Josh in our rankings and fairly high. People can say what they want but we know how many important people see these rankings. BTW, Fungo’s son never attended a PG event and Fungo never paid us a dime! So in one respect he is 100% correct… He didn’t need to! However, he did need to do something along the way to receive so much interest.
This is an example of succeeding without attending every event possible. Most top players attend our events, that is documented! Some don’t, but we know who nearly all of them are because they have been to other events where we have seen them. Some don’t attend anything and we still know who they are, but can’t give an opinion as to how they compare on a national scale. If a player truly is a “top” player, the more he is seen the better it might end up.
Sorry, for being long winded here, but I’m stuck at home due to the weather!