So what, 612 kids were selected in this draft? I count 116 from high schools and 48 from JUCOs. No clue how many of the 612 from 4-years have eligibility remaining. So does anyone have any guesses as to how many of those 612 will move on and actually leave/sign? Just trying to get any sense for what sort of relief it will actually provide for kids who have eligibility remaining, 2021s, 2022s, etc. My gut tells me it won't help much.
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Most of them will probably sign except for maybe some HS kids but in the grand scheme it probably will not be much relief (maybe like 1 guy per D1 roster at best with the exception of a handful of big schools).
84% of American MLBers come from the top ten rounds of the draft. Another 10% comes from rounds 11-20. It means, for the most part players drafted in rounds 21-40 were single A roster filler and teammates for the legitimate prospects drafted in the first twenty rounds.
A lot of players who would have been drafted and signed in rounds 21-40 won’t be drafted anymore. The writing will be on the wall for them. They will stay in school, play senior year and get their degree.
The $20k limit on undrafted free agents isn't going to help roster management much either. I do know two kids that I think might take it. One is a senior that had the best batting average in college baseball and one is a junior that just wants an opportunity. Both are good hitters that in normal times might have been drafted mid rounds.
@LHP's Roady posted:The $20k limit on undrafted free agents isn't going to help roster management much either. I do know two kids that I think might take it. One is a senior that had the best batting average in college baseball and one is a junior that just wants an opportunity. Both are good hitters that in normal times might have been drafted mid rounds.
A senior with the best batting average in college baseball wasn't drafted? Best in what program in which conference. It does matter.
@TPM posted:A senior with the best batting average in college baseball wasn't drafted? Best in what program in which conference. It does matter.
Well, that's the sort of thing I can't resist looking up. In Division 1, the top BA belonged to Liam McGill of Bryant U, who was drafted in the 9th round. The runner up was Dillan Shrum of Nevada, who was not drafted.
In D2, the leader was Ryan Berardino of Bently U, who is not on the draft list and was not drafted.
In D3 the leader was Jake Blinstrub of CMSV, who was also not on the list and not drafted.
The last I looked Shrum was #1 at the end of the regular season. I guess he dropped back a little. The pitchers hit him his first 3 appearances in the NCAA playoffs, and he did cool off after that. I know he had an injury a couple years ago that may have factored in.
@JCG posted:Well, that's the sort of thing I can't resist looking up. In Division 1, the top BA belonged to Liam McGill of Bryant U, who was drafted in the 9th round. The runner up was Dillan Shrum of Nevada, who was not drafted.
I can't resist either. 5th year senior in Mountain West, 23. I am going to take a guess he wanted more than someone was offering.
I would take a free agent offer.
A guy I played college summer ball with years ago hit over .500 senior year, hit well in the CWS and went undrafted. He was a first baseman, didn’t hit for power and lacked speed. He had one tool, a nice swing.
That would make sense. He is a smart kid, planning on being a surgeon someday.
@JCG posted:
In D2, the leader was Ryan Berardino of Bently U, who is not on the draft list and was not drafted.
Travel ball teammate of my younger son. Apparently he's still still swinging it pretty well.
@DanJ posted:So what, 612 kids were selected in this draft? I count 116 from high schools and 48 from JUCOs. No clue how many of the 612 from 4-years have eligibility remaining. So does anyone have any guesses as to how many of those 612 will move on and actually leave/sign? Just trying to get any sense for what sort of relief it will actually provide for kids who have eligibility remaining, 2021s, 2022s, etc. My gut tells me it won't help much.
From a completely subjective standpoint, I'm guessing all 496 college guys sign a contract. What 19-23 year old is going to turn that down? Very few, if any.
With the covid year, almost all of those guys have additional NCAA eligibility. Even some of the 32 guys listed as 5th year could have another year if they had an injury year or red shirt or something.
As far as relief goes, I'm with you... I don't think it provides much. Plenty of other covid guys still in the pipeline.
