At the risk of highjacking this thread, I would like to reflect on this quote from Branson, above:
At this stage for 2017's, you know if a D1 is interested as they've offered already. And many players know if a D3 is interested as they've offered roster spots now too. Always exceptions to this, but it's been our experience.
It seems that way to me, too, but my son is trying to interpret an email he got in the last day or so. It's from the RC of one of the top-ten schools in the D3 baseball poll (and also a school that would be considered high academic). The RC's email invites him to their fall prospect camp, with words to the effect that one of their coaches saw him at a camp last summer and thinks he could be a good fit, athletically and academically. They want him to come to camp to see if the match will pan out.
Other than being addressed directly to my son, it appears to be generic, with a lot of non-specific language (for example, it never mentions what camp they saw him at, nor the position he plays), and the unsubscribe feature is at the bottom of the email. My son has never contacted the school, and it is the first email he's received from the baseball coach. He does fit their academic profile, and has received general emails and mailings, like everyone else who's of age and has a pulse, from their admissions office.
My take on this is that it's pretty late in the game for my son to take seriously. Besides the fact that my son has other offers that he's been weighing carefully, the camp is AFTER a lot of schools' ED deadline. If they were highly interested in him, we think they would have contacted him right after whatever camp they saw him at, and he would have seriously considered the school. We think this invite, while not a straightforward money grab, is more along the lines of them thinking of my son as bottom of the roster insurance.
Is that too wildly speculative?