Originally Posted by mathews41:
Might just be the blinding flash of the obvious...But I think we are starting to see the play-off teams within the SED.
Agree. Since going to a 6-team playoff format two years ago the same 6 teams have made it to the district tournament. Last year it came down to the last week to determine the 6th spot between Grassfield and Oscar Smith. Barring injury, there's no reason to believe that Deep Creek, Lakeland, and Kings Fork can or will recover from their starts to make a push for a playoff spot leaving 7 teams competing for 6 playoff spots. However, one of those teams may spoil things later for the bottom 2 or 3 teams battling for a playoff position. My view of the teams currently occupying the bottom three and what they have left to the halfway point:
Nansemond River. While they've won 2 in a row, those wins are against winless teams. Their inconsistency in the field and at the plate can make things interesting against any opponent. Next five games are Kings Fork, Western Branch, Oscar Smith, Great Bridge and Grassfield. Their pitching depth will be tested in the week after spring break. They should, emphasis on should, improve on 5th place and really leave the battle for the 6th and final spot to Indian River and Oscar Smith.
Oscar Smith. They've beaten the 3 winless teams but have been handled by Hickory and Western Branch. Their next 5 games are Grassfield, Great Bridge, Nansemond River, Indian River and Hickory. We'll know more about them following the week after the break.
Indian River. They're 1-3 with a win over a Lakeland team playing their 3rd game in 3 days (with pitching clearly depleted) who also had to face Zach Rice and Connor Jones in the first two . Their next 5 games are Great Bridge (make-up), Deep Creek, Kings Fork, Western Branch, Oscar Smith and Great Bridge. They will need to win the tight ones they are currently losing.