As coaches and parents there are times we have more exposure to players than the recruiters pursuing them. There are two players I coached from 13u to 16u. Then I watched them play on the same 17u team as my son for two years. One of them played high school ball against my son.
All sixteen players in their graduating 17u class received P5 offers. One passed for an Ivy. Another ended up at a JuCo for academic reasons.
But two of the players I coached I knew they would not succeed where they chose. Both were great kids. I was pulling for them.
One kid had maxed out his body by the time he finished high school. He was already muscle bound and losing flexibility. One of his high school teammates told my son the kid was injecting. The kid had power. He had a plus arm. But he had poor mechanics and a scatter arm. The kid never got on the field and left after one year. This P5 was his only D1 offer. The recruiting coach was transitioning from D1 head coach to P5 assistant.
With the second player dad spent no dollar unspent on development and how to showcase. Jerry Ford told me this kid was the “real deal.” His ranked program P5 head coach (you know his name) publicly declared the kid could become his best recruit ever. If this kid walked into a room your first visual reaction would be, “That’s a ball player!” Think Josh Hamilton.
I just shook my head. The kid didn’t have the mental makeup to deal with failure. I had my arm around this kid more per season than any kid I ever coached. He put up enormous numbers against lesser pitching and adequate numbers against quality pitching. In high school in our area he was overrated and over heralded. He was handed a starting position at the ranked P5 for three years. He was on the bench by the time conference play started all three season.
How often do travel coaches tell a player their choice is a bad choice? Wouldn’t a travel coach who played P5 ball have a better feel for the player than a recruiting coach? Or do they want to pin a medal on their program’s chest every time one of their players accepts an offer from Big Time Ranked U.
Of the fourteen 17u kids who accepted P5 offers seven moved on to play elsewhere. One of the seven transferred to a non ranked P5. He was successful. But he didn’t like the campus culture and was homesick.