CaCO3Girl posted:2019Dad posted:Smitty28 posted:CaCO3Girl posted:MidAtlanticDad posted:Smitty28 posted:Midwest Mom posted:2019Dad posted:Smitty28 posted:CaCO3Girl posted:So what I'm reading is...right now the only 2019's getting offers are extreme pitchers and extreme HR hitters. Other 2019's need to wait a minute, it will come.
This is not true. Per PG, there are 978 2019 commitments in D1, as of today.
And obviously quite a few more have offers but haven't committed . . . probably around a third of all 2019 D1 commits have happened already, the other two-thirds will happen over the course of the next year.
The 2018 class has 2,895 commits, the 2017 class had 4,966 commits and the 2016 class had 4,585 commits. Either there are just fewer commits in the 2018 class, or they're not reporting commitments on PG or there are still more to come (or all of the above).
Yes, no doubt there are plenty 2019 opportunities out there, but we've moved past just the elite players. There are plenty of very good solid players (perhaps not elite) that are getting offers now.
Thanks Midwest Mom, I never noticed those total numbers before. Here are the rest:
2019s: 978
2020s: 257
2021s: 63And how many typically go in the draft each year? 40 rounds, has to be a significant number.
Round numbers... this year was pretty close to 50% college, 25% HS, 25% international
124 high-schoolers drafted in the first 20 rounds last year. Figure about 100, maybe a bit more, are drafted and signed out of high school.
Here's my math: 300 D1 programs, roughly 10 commits per school, roughly 3000 D1 commits per year. Might be off by 10% either way. With 978 current D1 commits, roughly one-third have committed.
Edited to add: Coach LD has better info than me. So 150 signed in the draft.
Okay, I'll go with 150 signed, but 300 had MiLB talent. If that is the case, I'm saying 900 is not all the higher D1's. Let's also not forget the kids who are committed but their grades won't be good enough. I think the OP talked about a kid who still has time to go D1. However I will say, the D1 catchers I have seen had a lower pop time. His current measurables put him at low D1 in my UN-expert opinion. They are not calling yet.
There's another thread that discusses pop time...