Wow - thank you for all of the advice, can't thank you enough!
As if on queue he just heard from his HS coach to call one of the other interested coaches asap, and another reached out through his travel coach for a call tomorrow. Maybe word does travel fast.
A little more detail for what is worth. Its a ranked academic college in his fields of interest (top 3 in USA for one field) , the team has very recent NCAA tournament experience and the coach is 15+ years with deep roots in the community. Prior coach in NCAA HOF member. There is always risk with coaching change but on comparing vs other options, and friends going through the same thing, its as safe as it can get at this point regarding coach longevity IMO. I am crystal clear that "opportunity to start" is meaningless, we know that will be 100% determined by my sons continued evolution, hardwork and taking advantage of opportunity when presented. Its a non factor in the decision.
My 2020 "on paper" doesn't attract immediate attention at 5'11" 1B (also OF), but once they see him play, 93mph tee exit velo as Freshman, he gets interest galore as he can flat out hit. Also a strong kid at 205lb with a dead-lift approaching 500lbs. He's a low 80s lefty both off mound and across diamond, 87 from OF. When I asked one D1 coach what was his first impression of him he said " have you seen his back?". Also, we are out of the picture for financial aid given family income, went through that with my oldest child (college freshman), all the colleges on his list are out of state (no great options in state) and in the $45-$60k range. My son is a very humble boy and was never caught up in the D1 power 5 chase, just wants to have the opportunity to play everyday at a school he loves. Although finances matter, there are WAY more important factors (like being well positioned for the 40 years of work after baseball), we wont be making a decision just based on money.
He's been taking hitting lessons for a few years with a NE regional scout for a West Coast MLB team so I called him this morning asking for advice. His was along a lot of what you guys said:
(A) Wait until the end of the HS season, at least, before making a decision. Most colleges will be fine with that and that would give him time to be seen again by the other interested teams (B) He talks to the other interested (two mentioned approx scholarship ranges during visits) teams every few weeks and to mention the offer in a humble way. That would either get other options very quickly or at least get them out to watch him again even quicker. (C) To understand what the 60% covered and was made up of, and get a much clearer picture of academic money as it will play a bigger role for my kid who is an honors/AP student (D) He thought the 60%, assuming it was athletic only with no strings attached, was an outstanding offer. (E) That given he shows very well at showcases and camps, that the next "new" round of interest would be in Fall post travel/showcase exposure and that would likely be too long to delay this offer (F) and that we could possibly end up at a power 5 school but he would be at the back-end of the signing period (this fall) and would certainly be less than 60% with much more uncertainty in playing time. He thought a lot of the money would be off the table by then. Overall more risky and lower comfort level...better to be a big fish in a small pond than the other way around.
In a nutshell: buy some time, generate or accelerate more offers with his play over the next couple months and make a decision pre Summer: Take the existing offer (or better if available) OR buckle in and get ready for more showcases, visits etc with a higher degree of risk.
Sorry for the long winded email, Ill keep you guys abreast of how this unfolds.
Not lost in all of this is watching my child experience the ultimate reward for his years of hard-work. He is over the moon there's validation his dream continues. I can't help but see him as that little tee ball player who's just loved to get dirty and sit in the dugout cheering with a grin ear to ear. Never sad with a strike out or failure, always using it as fuel to learn. Or being woken up many summer mornings my the ping of the bat off the tee into the net. He just hasn't changed, and know matter where this all ends-up, that is the greatest gift of all. I'm just along for the ride and to throw an occasional sub par BP.