JT,
That thread is what I put out there...and TRHIT...obviously nail right on the head! There are not secrets to "this is how you can tell" I'll put it to you this way...We had 24 visits last Sat & Sun alone...of those about 22 of them are actively being recruited by staff...I told them all when speaking to them I have 272 kids on my recruiting list...hoping to have 50-75 take visits in hopes of landing between 10-15...In that room were 3 top notch catchers from this area...all 3 have DI offers and I told them as they were sitting side by side and didn't realize that they all played the same position...what I tell everyone!
--First, I recruit the best, with that comes guys who are being recruited by other schools, which means I could lane 0 or all 3...I try not to over-recruit, however there will be a chance that all 3 will come my way and we have to figure out who the top 2 guys will be!
--Second, I find that most position players may not play the same position in College as they did in HS...my team last season had HS Catchers in 5 positions: C, 3B, SS, CF, RF...go figure. I recruit athletes and like guys who can play multiple positions.
--Third, You have to find a program that you like, academically, athletically. You need to walk away from the school understanding the coach. I happen to be a players coach...so most guys are comfortable with me! I tell them that if I like them as a player I will try not to over recruit that position, but what am I to do if Ivan Rodriguez walks through the door...they all get it! I try to as honest as possible, not all coaches are...as a parent...after meeting with the coach you should be able to get a good feeling of where his inner-ethics lies and that is where you can tell what the coach does! I know of the teams I play, which recruit in 20-30 guys per year, and those that bring in 10 with an additional 10-15 walk on...there is a difference...I can see it a mile away, but players, parents get snowed by money, or thinking that there kid is the best player this side of the MISSISSIPPI!...NCAA Stat: 25,700 athletes fill out freshman paperwork for baseball...yet only 7,300 have a roster spot as a freshman, and 5,700 become seniors..
http://www.ncaa.org/research/prob_of_competing/