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I have a question for those of you that have been through this before. My son has a very good scholarship offer to a D1 baseball school. Combined with a smaller unrelated scholarship his college cost will be zero (except daily expenses). He is a RHP/Outfielder and has been told he would have the opportunity to do both in college. Professionally he is being viewed as a pitcher. We have filled out many of the standard questinaaires and returned them to the pro teams. He has pitched four games thus far this year and has had anywhere from 4 to 12 pro scouts at each game. He sits at 87-88 with his fastball but has touched 91 this season so far. A scout told us that they project him out at 95mph. He is 6'-4" and weighs 200.He does well in school and gets good grades.
He really wants to play professional baseball and thinks, if drafted, he would like to give it a shot no matter what round he goes in. He says that he has talked to kids playing D1 ball now and they are stressed academically with the new compact college season.He brought up a good point by telling me that every year in college is the same level of competiton and in the pros, assuming you progress, it is more difficult every year. He feels he could make quicker progress in the pros as well if he didn't have to worry about school.
I guess my question is as follows:
Should he follow the conservative route and go to school or should he follow his dream (no matter which round he is drafted in) and go for it?
Each day I have a different opinion and I would be greatful for some input from others who have been there.
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Bob, A very good question and a very good position to be in. TRHit is right on. Each player and family is different so obviously there is no cookie cutter approach to this. Let me say my son was drafted in the 5th round by the Cardinals out of high school, chose to go to college, went to college for three years and played three years of SEC college baseball, was drafted in the 6th round out of college and is currently in his third full year of MiLB. We (he) had those choices and we have weighed out the pros and cons in the past so maybe I can share what he went through. I think I would look at the negatives (we did) instead of the positives. In other words what does your son stand to loose if he goes pro out of high school and what would he stand to loose if he goes to college out of high school. The only thing I will say to influence his decision would be --- "If your son has the ability to play professionally, going to college will not destroy that ability unless he has a career ending injury. In fact it could enhance his ability".

Now make a list.

1. What could he loose if he went to college?

2. What could he loose if he went pro?

Good luck and let us know how your thought process is going.

Fungo
BobR,
Welcome. I do agree that this is a personal decision but you asked for some feedback.

They projected my son to be drafted rounds 6-10 out of HS. He was offered a pre draft opportunity by NYY but said no thank you. With a strong college commitment (scholarship) and his desire to go to college he was not drafted at all, and I will admit, the money in those rounds was not enough for HIM to give up college. He also wanted to play pro ball all of his life, just like many of our players.

First do not think that playing baseball for a living is any less stressful than going to college and playing ball. Both have different type of stresses attached. Yes, all you do is play baseball all day, sounds like lots of fun, but do know it becomes your job. Think about your job and the demands and stress that it brings.

Some things to think about and discuss with your son below.

As far as college, MLB has the scholarship plan that pays for your education 100%. However, as far as I see it, there is very little time right now for my son to finish his last year, let alone if he had to begin. Become familiar with the plan and how it works. How much importance so you and your family and son place on furthering one's education.

You can get hurt in college, you can get hurt in professional ball. Where would you rather be doing your rehab?

Is your son a good student, does he have good time management skills? Learning to manage your time between class and a sport is manageable, depends on the player and the support behind him.

Understand the system of pro ball. On one team you can move quickly, on another team you can sit longer than you anticipate.It's not unusual for a player out of HS to put in 2 years in rookie, or one year in rookie and two in low A. Most teams move their HS players very slowly, regardless of the amount of money you receive. Will he be happy many miles away, has he ever been away from home for an extended period of time. Mine was homesick at college, for about 3 days. His team was his extended family at school, it is a bit different in pro ball. Your team are your co workers and they all want the same job. They care about each other, but the team concept is not as strong. It gets tougher as you move along.

If you do not care about the bonus, go play, if you care about the bonus and it isn't enough go to school.

Off season, will your son have to work to pay his bills or can you support him?

Who will be his support system besides you, can he afford an agent.

My son has said on several occassions and will tell you the same to this day, he would not have given up the college experience, even if that meant not making it to pro ball one day. He wqas very fortunate to have a great experience and it preparedhim well for his pro experience.

As said, everyone's situation is different, you might get different answers from those whose sons went right into pro ball out of HS.

The best part is that he has options. He can use those to his advantage, and is in a win win situation.


FYI, projected 6-10 out of HS, he was drafted second round out of college. I agree with Fungo, if he has pro potential, barring an injury, and he works hard, going to college most likely will not change that.
Good luck.
Last edited by TPM
In my opinion there should be no choice other than going pro.... what I mean by that is,life in the minors is a tremendous adjustment for a 18 yr old.
There can be no doubts, if there are, go to college first...There are too many kids who lose the chance of a pro career because they didn't want it bad enough to stick it out.
This is a yearly question and I am going to make a comparison. TPM, I mean no offense and will delete if this bothers you in any way.

TPM's son and mine were in the same draft class, both right handed pitchers. Mine was a projected 1st rounder. He got hurt, tommy john, a month before the draft, wound up being a 14th round pick, signed for second round money.

At this time, he is pitching AAA level, and got a long look at major league camp this spring. TPM's son is in high A.

College and professional are two different games. Aluminum bats v. wood bats, they make the game completely different. I also believe that the learning curve in pro ball is steeper. This is what they do full time. Not class, no NCAA, just baseball, all the time.

Mine has three years of service toward Rule 5 and 40 man roster, TPM's son is not at a full year.

TPM's son has 3 plus years toward a college degree, mine has one, he was able to go to school while he rehabbed.

His rehab was handled by the most professional people in the business, with incredible experience and investment into his well-being. Also had no limits on the amount of time he could spend with coaches will rehabbing.

Homesick is homesick, it doesn't matter if you are at college or pro. Teammates are teammates and they are supportive. The friends that son has made in pro ball are awesome.

Money is important. It must be enough to support you in the off-season. Seriously consider how he will support himself. We have not given ours a nickel since the day he left. We have been very fortunate.

Mine approaches it that this is his dream, he loves to play, is young and now is the time. He can go to college when he's done. He was a good student, plus 1200 on the SAT's. Academics would not have been his priority.

I am a proponent of academics. This is a tough decision. It has to be one you and your family are comfortable with.

You will hear both sides of the argument, maybe from me, but definitely on this website. We approached the pro situation the same way we did colleges. Alot of info alot of questions. The decision may even be more difficult.
BobR,
You have received spectacular input from some of the best, most knowledgeable and thoughtful posters.
In terms of your son, I do think he needs your guidance on one element...it makes a difference what round he is chosen.
I hope justbaseball will not mind, but his son brings a different journey to the decision.
Erik was also a projected top pick in 2004 as a pitcher. He chose Stanford and went undrafted.
After his junior year, and some ups/downs along the journey, he was drafted in the 20th round.
He chose to return to Stanford for his senior year.
As you can see from posts on this site, from reading Baseball America, and other periodicals, he is having an absolutely spectacular season.
It is one of those story book type experiences that involves development, leadership, chemistry, bonding, and achievement.
What is occurring with Erik and his Stanford teammates this year will never occur in Milb.
It is unique to college baseball, and even then, unique to certain teams in any given year.
The players mentioned in this thread (njbb's son is a wonderfully talented middle infielder in the Royals organization who signed out of high school) are all tremendous players who took the journey in different ways. Each have been extremely successful to this point, but the success has some different methods of measurement.
Best of luck to your son and family in approaching the decision and in having some reassurance on the paths he has before him.
deldad,

I believe that you meant to say that your son and TPM's son were in the same HS draft year, right? A handful of ex-college players do make it to the bigs within a year out of college, but not many. Tim Linthicum of the Giants and Ross Detwiler of the Nats have, but Det is back at AAA or AA for the time being.


BobR,

For what it's worth, many years ago a college coach told me that his opinion was for a pitcher to go with the draft as opposed to going to college. Reason being is that the pros have made an investment in the player whereas the college pitcher is paid to win. The pros will protect their investment (especially if they have a lot of $$$ invested) and the college coach might overuse his players to get a win.

That's a bretty broad brush he was painting with and there are probably more exceptions to that statement than the truth. But it should at least give you a reason to investigate where your son might go to school. I think I have heard that the current coach at Virginia has never had a pitcher suffer a serious injury.

Since my guy is an '08 HSer,I only have the stories of others to relate. The previous posters in this thread are some of, if not the best HSBBW has to offer. Consider their input and experience.

...and a belated welcome to HSBBW.
Last edited by infidel_08
After the pretty signing bonus what kind of salary does an average minor leaguer look at per month? I'm thinking of the guys that sign out of high school in the 7th or 8th round and on?
I'm trying to think of this in the frame of mind where how long will this bonus money last if you're living off of a minor league salary. Can you save some money if you're going to be in the minors for five years before you crack the big leagues, if at all?
Bob R;
For 25 years of International Baseball, I have the opportunity to observe the ability and character of 5,700 high school baseball players.

From Matt Williams to Bobby Jenks, each player has individual desires, motivation and tools which can assist in their climb to the Major Leagues.

Dave La Roche former ML pitcher, Jim Colborn former International Scouting Director and former ML pitcher, Jim Lentine former ML outfielder now a successful player agent and Tim Cossins, Marlins catching coach are a few of our coaches who have assisted in my evaluations of the 16-18 year old player.

Many players need the three years of college baseball to prepare their confidence.

However Torii Hunter, Derrick Lee, Bobby Jenks
and Jereme Bonderman were ready at 18 years of age. Why?

Each player has his own inner goals, fears and positive thoughts. This is "inner arrogance"

The body language and the player's "face" will describe his ability to battle against the odds.

Talk with your son as an advisor not as a parent.

Bob
Last edited by Consultant
BobR - These are some truly fantastic responses you are getting. I would have never had the benefit of knowing each of these possible stories and current outcomes (infielddad, no problem on sharing a little of Erik's story...like TPM's, deldad's, Fungo's and others, I think it is a story worth considering).

I will make one correction to infielddad's story though...an important one...he was drafted out of HS in a very late round but offered a fair amount of money. Its money he is very unlikely to see again unless he someday makes it to the big leagues. He does not regret it and is having the most fun of his life right now. He's also matured a great deal and has (I believe) a very good perspective on baseball and life in general. Some of that perspective was socked home to him with a stiff punch in the face!

It is impossible to predict the future and it is a personal choice that each player in this situation must make with his parent's guidance IMO.

I kind of resonated with this point in deldad's post:

quote:
He was a good student, plus 1200 on the SAT's. Academics would not have been his priority.


I have no doubt deldad's son will finish college someday if its important to him. Given his immense talent, I'm not sure it will be important at all from a financial standpoint. But assessing the maturity of your son and where his heart lies is pretty key IMO. From all reports, his son was both very mature (i.e. able to handle the stresses of MiLB) and determined to play pro ball right then and there. For them, I think their choice was every bit as good as the one we made.

This takes some very serious introspection and some 'nothing-goes-unsaid' parent/son discussions. And asking the types of questions that you have here. I like Fungo's list approach...its similar to our discussions about all of this.

I wish you the very best in sorting through all of this. Ask all the questions you want along the way! And once you've made the decision adjust to events as they present themselves, but don't look back and 2nd-guess your decision which I think is true of each and every story above. Good luck! Wink
Last edited by justbaseball
Deldad,
Absolutely no problem that's why I said that there would be differnet responses depending on the circumstances. Your son was projected much higher than mine and had a unique situation and I know from discussions it was well thought out. I also did state that mine was not willing to sign for 7th,8th round money at the time to give up college since most of it was being paid for. Maybe an earlier round may have made a difference.

Yes he is in High A, skipping low A, but there are many 2004's that are still in high A or some still in low A. My son has teammates drafted before him that are in High A and some the year after his HS draft year. That has a lot to do with how the organization views it's players and their skill level and position. Your son is extremely talented and his development is very important to his organization. SmileSome of son's teammates came out of college hurt, some came out of HS hurt. That is something that no one has control over and no one really knows where they will be in one year, two years, three or four.

Yes your son's clock is way ahead of mine, but that really didn't seem to make a difference to him when he made his decision.

Sometimes it's really hard to see the other side without being on it. Smile

Football games and college life was important in his decision and his college experience and instruction he received was supurb, one of the reasons he chose to head to college, as his High A pitching coach has told him, there is nothing he needs to learn but experience. That is also a consideration. Not sure if he would have chosen that path if he had been in someone else's charge. Plus he was looked after carefully and left college healthy.

The milb pay has increased plus I think a monthly bonus from his organization (100 dollars). However, here in South Florida in High A rent is out of site and so is food. You cannot think that you can save anything on it. I think his club dues are 20 or 25 per check, plus tips to do extra laundry Wink. Most of the players are living 4-5 in an apartment on air matresses, mine was living in a hotel, but one of the guys already moved up and he got in a house with two others who also didn't want to live with 4-5,6. Some of the local kids went home to live, as my son may do when we move closer to the field. He was fortunate to get a good bonus so that it doesn't hurt as much, but some of the lower picks are hurting and my son has even given up cleats and turf shoes, sliders, etc. for those who can't afford them.

Those are some things one needs to think about.

As mentioned by everyone, it is something that needs serious discussion and I advise that you do discuss it asap and let your son decide based on info given. Sometimes, IMO, they don't understand all that is involved, the lure of pro ball is so strong that is the only thing on their mind.
Last edited by TPM
BobR-TPM and Justbaseball make some great points. Another comparison, is the route Justbaseball's son took. Again he was in the same draft class as TPM's son and mine, and also faced some obstacles.

Justbaseball's advice about the nothing left unsaid conversation is awesome. We had the come to Jesus meeting, and nothing was left unsaid. Even involved the little brother who was 10, because there can be no regrets. No second thoughts. No I told you so's. Make sure he understands your priorities, make sure you listen to his, advise, counsel, prod, but remember in the end it is his decision. One of my fears was that if I talked him into going to college, and something else happened, would he look at me for the rest of my life and think, it was my fault. Now one of my fears is that something happens, and he looks at me for the rest of his life and thinks why didn't you make me go to college. Luckily, and I use that word every time I talk on this subject because there is no right and no wrong, it has worked out, so far.

The other issue is the myopic view of a parent. I thank justbaseball and tpm for the compliments of my son's talent, but I still see him as that kid who never put the cap back on the toothpaste and who's room was a disaster area. It is important that you reach out and get as many opinions, honest opinions, as possible. Advisors, scouts, coaches, ex-players, any and all whether you like them or not.

Faith is the substance of things hoped for, the evidence of things not seen. Hebrews 11-1

Good luck
NJBB's son also was in our son's HS draft year.

Four players, four different situations. What may have been good for one, may not have been good for another. That's why it is so difficult to ask and base decisions on the answers given.

The most important thing, whatever the decision by the player, he must be happy with it and NEVER look back. Some good advice given to son from a professional at the time, if you suddenly found yourself regretting your decision, where would you rather be when regretting it? He never regretted the decison he made, not once (though maybe he thought about it), so for him, it was a good choice.
Last edited by TPM
quote:
Originally posted by MN-Mom:
I'm not usually the one saying this, but...

This thread needs to go Golden, don't you think?



Julie


Julie, I don't think you ever need a second, but just in case, I second your thoughts. A truly fascinating discussion of a fascinating topic, by the best posters, posting their best, uh, except for the lawyer guy who missed ED's draft round in 2004.
Bob R.:
Welcome to this site! I think you have been treated to a perfect illustration of what makes this site so incredible.

Imagine! In front of Bob and his son and family is one of the most important decisions they will ever make, and in the space of a few hours, they are able to consider the experiences of several people who have faces the very same decision, and are able and willing to share honestly all the facets on both sides, from direct personal experience.

Priceless!
The only thing left to make this complete would be someone coming on here and talking about how they made the wrong decision.

There have been many wrong decisions made, but in most cases the draft makes the decision much easier.

There have been some who turned down millions and never to see it offered again, but that's a different discussion. Without a doubt the safest route unless the money dictates differently is to go to college. But that's only if it's about money and sometimes there are other things to consider.

I think everyone here in one way or another is saying the same thing. It's very much an individual thing with no right or wrong decision. There are only right or wrong results and without a crystal ball it's too hard to predict those. Too bad... if we knew the results the decisions would be a slam dunk. Smile
quote:
He really wants to play professional baseball and thinks, if drafted, he would like to give it a shot no matter what round he goes in.


quote:
He says that he has talked to kids playing D1 ball now and they are stressed academically with the new compact college season.


quote:
should he follow his dream (no matter which round he is drafted in) and go for it


Very excellent analysis.

Based on interest your son appears to be having, a higher round is indicated.

There are a couple of things that I have observed.

First, projected time to majors is an issue and the round can be an indicator of time to majors. Teams draft players based on how soon they believe the player can have an impact on the major league team.

For many of us to confess to ourselves that we might have to make a decision like this is unthinkable.

And, then, to think we might let money affect the decision, is more than we would ever admit.

But, economics will enter the picture.

That is where the NCAA coaches have screwed themselves. (They vote on the NCAA rules that govern them.)

It was difficult to comply with the NCAA academic requirements and play baseball before the season compression rules came into play.

I think the impact of the season compression decision is that the money may increase a little in rounds 5-10 making the decision easier for those players to forego school (with the baseball scholarship plan included) and begin a professional baseball career immediately.

The impact on the transition of my son to minor league baseball has been impacted significantly by the experience he gained playing college baseball.

Of course hindsight is 20/20, but knowing what I know now about my son, and, had he been drafted in the 5-10 round with more money available, it would have been very tempting to encourage him to consider a professional baseball career out of high school.

bbscout was right.

If you want a career in professional baseball get with it there is no better way than to get started early.

I did note bbscout's son attended college and that affected my advice to my son.

But, I wonder if bbscout would make the same decision now.

I understand the process of rethinking how the decision will be made everyday while stuggling at the same time with whether it will ever have to actually be decided.

My experience was that as the decision time came closer, the answer became more certain.

The long debate was critcal, though, in making a decision that frequently has to be done very quickly.

quote:
should he follow his dream (no matter which round he is drafted in) and go for it


Your gut will tell you at the right time.
Last edited by FormerObserver
Thanks to everyone for this very timely and informative discussion.

For those lucky enough to be faced with a difficult decision regarding the upcoming draft, I hope they all have the benefit of reading this thread. College vs. Pro may be one of the most important decisions these young men will ever make, learning from the insight that has been shared in this thread will make them much more prepared to make an informed decision. I hope you all know how valuable your insight is too many of us that visit the HSBBW.

Thank you for taking the time to share, it is appreciated!
Last edited by jerseydad
Thanks to all for a whole lot of inforamtion that will take some time to sift through. I guess what is most apparent to me from the repsones is that we need to carefully weigh the options and make the best decision possible. Once the decision is made there should not be regrets and every effort needs to be made to be succesful whichever path is chosen. Again, thanks to all for the input. It was much more than I ever anticipated.
BobR,
I like the information and the variations and successes on each path so much, I went back and reread the thread.
In doing so, I did find one item I, personally, believe to be very important that isn't included, and that is the organization drafting your son.
It is extremely important to understand the developmental philosophy of the MLB club. They vary widely. Some have very poor histories but are in the process of change.
Some have very poor histories, and remain unchanged.
Some stockpile talent and then sign veterans that get loaded in to AAA and 40 man slots, necessarily putting a lid on progress upward.
Some do it very well with development and with moving players who perform through the organization so they can be challenged, prove themself, move upward and be challenged again.
Do as much as you can to learn about the variations in player development. It can be an important factor in the decisions you and your son will be making.
Last edited by infielddad
quote:
Originally posted by infielddad:


It is extremely important to understand the developmental philosophy of the MLB club. They vary widely. Some have very poor histories but are in the process of change.
Some have very poor histories, and remain unchanged.
Some stockpile talent and then sign veterans that get loaded in to AAA and 40 man slots, necessarily putting a lid on progress upward.
Some do it very well with development and with moving players who perform through the organization so they can be challenged, prove themself, move upward and be challenged again.
Do as much as you can to learn about the variations in player development. It can be an important factor in the decisions you and your son will be making.


With the ever changing rosters in minor league baseball, does anyone have any suggestions how to best determine which teams do a better job of player development.
Last edited by jerseydad
quote:
Originally posted by BobR:
I have a question for those of you that have been through this before.
I would be greatful for some input from others who have been there.


---------------------
Hmmm

Allow me to offer an opinion, yet before that is accomplished, let me understand your words:

Summary
HS RHP
a. Sits at 87-88,
b. Touches 91.
c. Projects to 95 mph
d. Projects to 6'5 220
e. Wants to play pro ball
f. Thinks there exist quicker progress in pros
g. NCAA LOI
h. Zero Dollars to spend except expenses in college
i. Two way player potential at college
j. Good Student
k. Conservative route if college taken
l. Stressful new compact college season
m. Competition in college is same as pro's

Comment to summary
i. A level of risk to become true
k. My viewpoint is not the same
l. My viewpoint is not the same
m. My viewpoint is not the same

Since this may be a business decision, remind him
he will live in poverty for six months of the year
(Mar - Aug) playing MiLB, (unless supported by Mom and Dad).

- He will need to find a job off-season to pay for his expenses (yet has zero skills for the job market, thus expect minimum wage)

Observations:
- MiLB is NOT for every American HS Player/Pitcher.

- The HS baseball player must love the game first and foremost.

- Being on the road, playing ball, in Podunk for the 17-18-19 y/o are new & memorable experiences.

- Let's presume he's drafted out of HS.

- Let's presume he signs a MiLB pro contract for $80K

- Let's presume he advances in his MiLB career consistently over the next three years after HS.

- He could be more advanced in pro-ball than the Two Year Juco sign and the three year D1 sign.
Yet may have received less signing bonus dollars!

- He could be less advanced than the low round 4 year DI guy, yet have a lot more signing dollars.

Conclusions:
- If the round drafted out of HS is early, and the signing bonus is respectable, then sign.
The question for Dad is 'what is your figure'?

- If the round drafted out of HS is middle, and the signing bonus is respectable, then sign.

- If the round drafted out of HS is late, and the signing bonus is pitiful, then attend college (and work his bu^^ ooff in the classroom and on the field, dreaming about the bigger dollars after signing in three years! Those bonus dollars could be significantly higher than after HS! Then as a pro, work his butt off.

College education is a great fall back position, however, today, he may make pro baseball his profession of choice!

cheers
Bear

postscript: The minor leagues are full of guys who never made it to the next level and don’t have anything else to fall back on. Many improved their game and draft position in college and furthered their education in the process. College play gives you the chance to test yourself at a higher level. If you are good enough, you’ll still be there, and you’ll have both a stronger competitive experience to help you make a run at MLB, and a college degree to sustain your future
......from a former MLB who attended college
Last edited by Bear
It might take some work, but if you go to MLB.com and check rosters it will reveal a little bit.

Look for players 25 and younger. DOB 1983 or above. This will tell you how many young guys are on the MLB active rosters at this time.

Also might want to check up on who actually drafted those players originally. Sometimes a trade can benefit a player greatly. Might also want to research whether they were drafted out of high school or college.

If I had the time, would do myself. I think that would be interesting information.

I did check Arizona only because they are a hot team right now.

Pitchers, 1 born in 84, 1 in 83, 2 in 82
Position players, 1 born in 87 (Upton), 4 born in 83, 1 in 82.

That means 10 of the 25 on their current roster is around 26 or younger.

Oh heck, I checked Atlanta too… only because they draft a lot of high school kids.

They have one pitcher born in 86, one in 82. They have two position players born in 84, two in 83, four born in 82.

They also have 10 of the 25 on their current roster who are 26 or younger.

Of course, we do know of some young MLB pitchers Atlanta has drafted and traded.

IMO, It looks like more young guys are playing at the MLB level than ever before. I’m not sure though. Even the Yankees and RedSox have some young guys on their roster.
IMHO - Development sometimes can be no more complicated than not screwing up your top draft picks. Sounds simple but some teams can wander in the forest for decades by not being able to draft. The Indians were like this from the late 50's until the mid 90's when their farm system finally started to produce. Manny Ramierez, Jim Thome, Albert Belle, Kenny Loften (acquired through shrewd trade of a minor league prospect Eddie Taubensee), Charles Nagy, Sandy Alomar and Carlos Baerga (acquired from San Diego's farm system for Joe Carter). Also, Omar Visquel. When you put this much talent on the field at about the same time you get what the Rockies and the Dimondbacks did last year and are continuing to do. Detroit has turned things around with Dave Dombrowski. Atlanta and Minnesota have done a fine job of developing/ drafting young players. The Indians have re-built themelves from a power hitting team to a power pitching team and were serious contenders last year. They have a similar philosophy to the D-backs and Rockies and some of the lowest payrolls in baseball. The Pirates may be the next team you'll see come up this way.
jerseydad,
BA does it's own survey of the minor league systems and provides some ranking and analysis.
One important thing you can do, in addition to the suggestions from PGstaff, is compare AAA rosters as opposed to MLB rosters.
If you find AAA rosters filled with guys 28 years and older, that will give you some guidance.
Also, look at 40 man rosters and check the ages of player 26-40. Again, that will provide guidance.
Beyond that, hopefully you might have access to a very good advisor who can provide input and guidance. If they cannot, they might not be a very good advisor.
From my experience, the one reliable way is nearly impossible to track.
It involves being able to track players at the AA level. When you see kids having great years at AA, and not being moved or traded,(because the AAA is loaded with 30 year olds) and then they get reassigned to AA the following year, you get seemingly reliable ideas on player development.
quote:
Originally posted by jerseydad:
With the ever changing rosters in minor league baseball, does anyone have any suggestions how to best determine which teams do a better job of player development.


That's very hard question to answer, IMO. Things are changing so rapidly, I see tremendous changes since son's HS draft year, even in his organization. Many teams have proven that you can put a good product on the field, win and not break the bank. Some teams will draft a player full well knowing that they may never wear their MLB uniform, but offer much value for trade. Miller is a great example. Of course that depends on the need of the organization. I htink there are some teams who still don't get it.

Estimated time for drafted HS players to reach MLB is generally 4-5 years, unless they are of top talent, it could be sooner. College players estimated time is generally less. Position is also a factor, some say it's best to go out of HS for pitchers, others say it's best for position players to get their at bats in college.

My sons roomate this summer was out of HS and a late round who gave up school. He came filled with enthusiasm, by the end of summer he had changed, he felt that he had made a wrong choice. Getting up at 6am, playing complex ball everyday and ending at 1, he was pretty bored and it was too darn hot to do anything in the afternoons, or too expensive. He was packed to go home a week before he was ready. He is in extended spring training waiting for asignment. Most of the later round HS picks are still awaiting an assignment for single season or rookie.

Fungo,
God bless your son for defending our country so that our sons can be safe and play ball. Smile


Oh one other thing, honesty. Remember the scout that drafts you is doing his job, if you have given indications you will sign, then you are not happy with the round or money (this is especailly true with higher picks), he could lose your job. By being honest means unless you are top prospect, asking for a million dollars for a signing bonus when you may be a later round pick. Study draft rounds, if tehy say your son may be a 6-10 round pick, understand what those rounds bring for bonus dollars. Again, if money is not an issue, it doesn't matter.
QUESTION:
Scholarship Plan.....Is it standard for every pro contract, regardless of round?
Is the plan standard, or can it vary by player?

Quick "what if":
Player wants to play pro ball and gets drafted.
Let's assume for the moment he gets the plan mentioned above.
And let's assume he is a position player who is getting the min (25%) from a DI school.

I know, there are many "ifs" in this scenario, but from a purely economic perspective, why wouldn't a player take the shot at the pros knowing he can chase his dream AND that his college education would be 100% paid for once his pro days are over which for most guys would be sooner rather than later.....(again, I am making some large assumptions about the scholly plan)????
All teams do things differently and much depends on how badly they want you or how high or low you are drafted. My son has a friend drafted as a junior and they would not give him enough to finish school, there is no standard set amount as far as I know.

One team that wanted to draft son out of HS, would give him what the average cost to attend a state school (at today's prices) in Florida would be, they would not give what his scholarship amount would be worth for 4 years at Clemson. That meant essentially he was limited if he ever wished to go out of state.

The team that drafted son from college set aside almost half of what the other team would have given because he expressed a desire to return to that school for his degree and out of state. They gave it to him no questions asked.

You can chase your dream and go to college on the MLB scholarship plan. Players have fall (if not invited to fall instruction or fall ball) to attend classes or do online classes.

From what I see, it's virtually impossible to try to do your best in proball and go to school at the same time. We wondered if after he was done with baseball (whenever that may be) he would. You have 2 years to begin the plan from the time you leave pro ball. We also felt that was limiting his options.

It's just a personal decision. My suggestion is to make sure that you do read the plan before draft day.
TPM-
Thanks for the info.....looks like the scholly plan is variable.

You comment about pro ball and school is interesting.

For those out there who have sons playing college ball now (i.e. current sophs, Jrs or Srs) who have now had to play under the old AND new schedule format (the new compressed season), I would like to hear some comments about how they are handling school with the compressed college schedule.

I have talked to just a couple of players who have said it is definitely much tougher now.
I am posting (first post in several years) because of PGStaff’s comments regarding all this thread needed was a post by someone that had made the wrong decision.

While I agree with several others that there is no wrong decision – I think there can be wrong or poor advice, and I think I gave some to my son.

HAVING WATCHED THE EFFORT OF PROFESSIONAL BASEBALL TO DEVELOP HIM COMPARED WITH THE COLLEGE MENTALITY TO ABUSE HIM, I WOULD CHANGE MY ADVICE FROM WHAT I GAVE HIM 4 YEARS AGO.

My son was in the 2004 high school draft class, the same as Justbaseball, TPM and Deldad all of whom have shared their son’s experience and given insightful advice. He ranked as a top 10 prospect in the area code games, top 30 BA, and was generally considered a 2nd to 4th round pick. We focused on what he “should do” from a monetary standpoint and not so much on what he wanted to do. We picked a figure, middle 2nd round money in 2004 and honestly told teams not to draft him if they were not willing to pay that figure or above. He had had 70% to 90% scholarship offers from numerous top programs, and had committed to one over the others based upon the quality of the pitching coach.

The situation seemed perfect, advice seemed good.

Next 3 years in a nutshell: was drafted in 21st round, offered 3rd round money to sign, stuck to guns i.e., 2nd round money and didn’t sign, enrolled in college, pitching coach fired, delivery and mechanics changed completely by inexperienced volunteer assistants, lied to repeatedly by head coach, barely used, transferred after 2 years, next school over used and used on short rest to point of failure, then not used at all, still drafted in 5th round, signed ($350,000 less than offered out of HS). Son summed up frustration after 3 years of college this way: “if they (a team that drafts him) offers me an f……g bus ticket, I’m out of here (here being college).

My advice to BobR is to make sure you give enough attention to what your son wants to do. I remember the look on my son’s face after about the 5th round on day one of the 2004 draft. He had pre-draft deals he could have agreed to that would have had him drafted in the 3rd round, and while he outwardly agreed with my, his mother’s and his advisor’s advice, I could see in his eyes he really wanted to play pro ball out of high school. We both have some regrets.

This is just one kid’s experience, but in retrospect I think the best advice we got was from old Jim Walton of the MLB scouting bureau – based on his 40 years of scouting – he advised that if you truly want to give MLB your best shot, sign and go play regardless of money. If you are not sure, or have other more important goals, then perhaps college is a better course.

Try to know your son’s mind.

Thus far we have found the effort in pro ball to help him in trying to develop to the next level refreshing and comforting. Juxtapose that with our experience with 2 college coaches (both top programs) which I describe as disgusting. I have been soured by the attitude and abuses of college baseball, consequently, I would be much more likely to give pro ball a stronger recommendation.

But I will reiterate, if you are fortunate to have a choice neither decision is wrong. There are “what ifs”, but in my son’s example, he has many good friends and memories from each school, has 3 years of college in, and has the remainder of college paid for. Not all bad.

One comparison of interest: we are from a cold weather state where often there is not a high school player drafted in the first 20 rounds. In 2004 in addition to my son, there was another tall lefty drafted who was drafted in the 8th round and signed. He is in AA with 4 years in, while my son is just getting started in low A. Might have been a better path.
K2,

Wow, thank you for a tremendously helpful post. It's always really useful to read stories from parents who feel their sons successfully navigated the process. But it can be even more illuminating to read an honest story about a bumpy path.

My son was in the same HS grad class as yours, so I can imagine the anguish you must have felt for him at times! But it sounds like he made the best of it, and has come out on the other end with some great opportunities ahead of him.

I, for one, will be pulling for your son! Please keep us updated on how he is doing, and very best wishes to him!

Julie
Last edited by MN-Mom

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