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I spoke recently to a friend that is also the President of a D-3 College in Virginia, where we have a lot of D-3's and D-1's, but only 1 D-2. He opined that you won't see any more D-2's (meaning D-3's moving up) as the current thinking is that if you're going to give scholarships, might as well go D-1, where the NCAA basketball money awaits. As the closest D-2's are a goodly distance from here in the Carolinas or in West Virginia, travel considerations make going up to D-2 a less than favorable alternative.

Looking at another angle, he felt a fair number of D-1 calibre players either fall through the cracks or just lose out on the numbers, so the D-3's in this state benefit, resulting in some pretty strong D-3 athletics in general, and in particular, baseball.

Interesting.....
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Completely agree ... and add these factors, too:

A significant number of D-I Virginia schools heavily recruit out of state, because the prices here are competitive for out-of-staters and it helps the bottom line.

Also, we have some destination schools that compete nationally for top academic athletes.

The lack of private D-I schools in the state is a factor. So is the lack of varsity JUCO competition. So are the HBCUs that are overlooked. So is the weather. So is the fact that no schools in the state play D-I hockey (OK, it's not a factor for everyone else, but it is for me).

But the biggest factor probably is, after the prices, the fact that we have some D-III schools that are fairly well endowed for their relative situation, meaning state kids can get a decent deal.
We found that states and regions are quite different. In Ohio, there are a lot of D-1 schools (Ohio State plus several of the MAC schools), and there are a lot of fine D-3 schools, both academically and athletically. But there is only one D-2 school. We found that in FLorida, there are a lot of D-2 schools (in fact some of the best baseball D-2s are in FL), but no D-3 schools. So I think that it becomes a regional issue.

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