Originally Posted by SluggerDad:
Goal: I'd like some help in providing a reality check about freshman playing time at strong D3's, especially from those on this board whose sons have gone the D3 route. ...
Background Context: I've read a fair number of threads that make something like the following argument for choosing D3 over D1. Player x might get a spot at a D1, but wouldn't get much playing time as a frosh. Ergo, player x should go the D3 route where they will "get on the field more and ride the bench less." (A comment like that was made in a post just today.)
What seems right about this argument. Given a kid with a certain level of talent, that kid is more likely to break into the lineup at a D3 school than a D1 school.
What seems wrong about this argument. Assume that the quality of players that a strong D3 school brings in every year is relatively constant. Assume that attrition is less heavy at D3's than at D1's. It would then seem to follow from those two assumptions alone that D3 line ups will tend to be junior and senior heavy on average.
Why less attrition? Because D3's lose far fewer juniors to the draft every year. ...
Just wouldn't want kids thinking that going the D3 route is some piece of cake and that they are going to waltz right in there and earn a starting spot off the bat. Even if you go the D3 route, especially the elite D3 route, like I know some on this board have had son's do, you've got to go in there prepared to compete your buns off with what, after all, are a bunch of grown men.
That's the message I've been delivering to my son this whole summer. He has to step on the field ready to compete with a bunch of grown me, some of whom are real D3 "studs.' ...
Sluggerdad,
I agree with the basic premise. Surely, every situation is different but if there is something close to a constant, it is this... freshman players are almost always surprised by the level and depth of talented players when they step on the college field in the fall regardless of the level.
I have several references specific to just your son's new school. In another thread, you mentioned the strong returning OF's and alluded to a returning fourth OF. I have watched that fourth OF play summer ball the last two years and saw him light up good summer pitching. To see him hit, you would wonder why the heck he was the fourth OF at a D3. I coached a player who attended there some years ago... seemed like a good fit for D3, solid but not spectacular player, some local accolades, great character kid, was actively recruited to come to the school. In his mind, the challenge would be whether he could earn any playing time freshman year. He and several similar players found themselves cut in early fall. About the same time period, there was a kid from our HS league who a few of us coaches felt was the best position player to come out of the area in a while. Five tool SS who, not to our surprise, was drafted out of HS. We were surprised to hear he decided to go D3. He had a very successful baseball career there but not before sitting most of his freshman and half his soph season.
I think, in part, it is only human nature to associate a drop-off in quality of players with each level, even when one knows that is quite often not the case. My own OF son's recent final decision came down to a D2 and a strong NAIA. It appeared that his better chances of seeing the field early would surely be with the NAIA and this, among other factors, left me with questions about his decision to go D2. The NAIA had also offered significant academic and athletic $$, so we assumed he was targeted as one of their top guys. The roster didn't show much in terms of returning OF's and although the coach stated he would be in a competitive situation in the fall, I felt pretty good about his shot at early PT. Well, after his decision to go the other direction, out of curiosity I went back to check for activity on the NAIA team site. They had several new players already listed and it included both a major and mid-major D1 drop-down OF as well as two other strong OF's (one all conference) from the same Calif JC system son was coming from. It would have been far from a cake-walk to a starting spot.
The other constant is that the college coaches are, per their job description, constantly trying to bring in players who can make them better at every position. That can come in many forms - next year's bigger/better/stronger/faster freshmen, transfers, mid-year transfers, drop-downs, player development, etc. This ongoing process often takes a while for the incoming freshman player to grasp.