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Originally posted by TPM:
…As you all know my son worked with a former ML pitcher (pcoach for high A Palm Beach), I am going to ask him to ask Dennis about the velocity of his time and the velocity of the pitchers throwing today.
I don't think he threw that hard.
I’ve talked about this with a very good friend who threw in pro baseball from ’39 to ’60, scouted from ’60 to ’68, and was the Dodgers pitching coach from ’68 to 80, and with a few of his former pitchers, including Bob Welch among others, and the main difference is, no one placed such a high value on it in the pros.
The only velocity gradients were a pitcher either threw very hard or hard. There was much more emphasis on getting batter out than how hard the pitcher threw. Its as though no one today can make a judgment about a pitcher without the little numbers on gun.
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Now I know that all pitchers are different, mine was taught to pitch to contact, when he was younger. I think that is what helped, less pitches thrown, less time on the mound, able to get through more innings with fewer pitches. Don't be afraid if you get hit is what he was taught.
I really feel a big issue today is young kids NOT pitching to contact. They are afraid of getting hit. If they did make more contact, more frequently, then you wouldn't see 177 pitches, this pitcher had to have gone deep in the count and was nibbling.
I think you’re right to at least some degree, but that part of baseball history will hopefully change in the very near future. Good coaches have always screamed at, cajoled, and pleaded with their pitcher to pitch to contact, but those aren’t generally the coaches at the lower levels where the pitchers learn to “pitch”. Then to make it even worse, those same coaches have taken over the calling of the pitches, and thus control the pitcher to a great degree.
IMHO, a lot of it had to do with bats getting hotter and hotter, and coaches had reason to be worried. Its why they became afraid to challenge hitters in the strike zone, and I believe it’s a reason so many coaches refuse to call CU’s. It isn’t that the pitch isn’t effective, its that coaches who don’t have an in depth knowledge of the game have a deep rooted fear that anything less than a pitch traveling at warp speed will be crushed.
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As far as velocity, many many pro players can hit over 90, but some are just not as effective, so they have to scale back. In HS, you are not going to tell a pitcher throwing 95 to turn it down, but eventually that velo will turn into experience and won't be needed.
the problem is with HS pitchers who throw 95 because there just aren’t that many. More often its with the ones in the 85-90 range who have mediocre to poor control and back off just a bit when they really need to throw a strike. It doesn’t take much of a back off to take 4-5 mph off a pitch, and two things can happen.
If it’s a 4 seamer on a string, things could easily get ugly, but if a 2 seamer backing off could give it much more movement and be a godsend. That’s what pitchers need to understand, and it’s the difference between throwing and pitching.
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Pitch F/X tells you a pitcher is tiring?
Never said that. What I was trying to get at, is that it’s the only thing I know of that accurately combines a velocity with a pitch type and outcome, which means to me that it’s the only real way to analyze a pitcher’s velocity to say when he may be fatigued.