itinthegame,
Sorry this is long, but you made a lot of good points that need addressed.
It may well not work, but there’s one thing for sure. We know attacking it from the perspective of it being dangerous because of hit balls isn’t working, even a little bit. And although the traditionalists have a good argument just to get the game back to what it used to be, there are more traditionalists dying every day than are coming into the fold, so that’s prolly never gonna be what changes things either. ;-)
The thing this approach has that the others don’t, and I feel is the strongest thing it can play is, it should be easy to gather acceptable facts to support it. After that, the next best thing is, no one’s tried it yet. That means it’s a fresh approach and shouldn’t threaten anyone’s exiting position so badly they’ll reject it out of hand.
Yes, there are a ton of variables in arm health, but like I said, I haven’t heard of even one “expert” saying overuse wasn’t at least a partial cause.
I just thought of this and it may well be nothing, but I’m not the best judge. An ancillary argument to me is, just spending more playing the game is more hazardous than not. FI, forget arm health and getting drilled with a hit ball. Just the fact that the players and everyone else is there at the game longer, means there’s more chances that something will happen.
If it can be proven that games are say 10% longer using metal than wood, to me that’s a significant number. IOW, a 2 hour game would run 2:12 minutes, but I suspect the average difference would be far greater.
How many more players will get injured in those to minutes from anything? How many more coaches, or employees needed to run the facility for a game might have something happen to them? Heck, how many more fans are gonna trip and fall, or even have a heart attack?
Mebbe that’s way off track, but I’d think it would have to be computed into the final formula too.
You’re correct, there may well be an argument about how all the P’s in days of yore threw hundreds of pitches every day from 5YO’s to 50YOs. But as far as I know, that would be an argument of conjecture against fact because records of number of pitches don’t go back very far at all for the ML, let alone for colleges, HS, or kiddyball.
That may well change with LLI now making pitch counts mandatory, but its never been an issue in the past.
Then too, there’s the additional fact that even the pros now believe in pitch counts. They certainly must have some evidence that that makes a difference in something or they darn sure would be having pitchers throw until the cows came home. ;-)
It is a difficult problem, but everyone throwing up their hands in defeat, or no one trying any change isn’t gonna help anyone.
I agree that the best approach probably is the hit ‘em in the pocketbook, but using this other approach doesn’t preclude that one from being used too. In fact, it seems to me that the more parents and coaches who actually get to see the facts, the more quickly they’d push for more wood bat options.
As far as I know, no one is saying there’s no difference in exit speeds at all. The problem is, at least for BESR, since the test criteria covers such a very small range of possibilities, every non-wood bat can easily meet them, but still way outperform wood as the variables change.
FI, the point where the ball meets the bat for BESR is 6” from the end of the bat. It doesn’t address that a ball might hit 8” away from the barrel that would probably break a wood bat, or 4” from the end which would prolly also break wood, or at least put bees in the batter’s hands. Heck, where does the criteria say the metal bats can’t perform better there than wood does at the 6” point? Here’s the white paper, mebbe someone can tell me where I’m wrong.
http://webusers.npl.uiuc.edu/~a-nathan/pob/BESRWhitePaper.pdfI don’t think any part of the debate should be pushed aside. A good general doesn’t stop using his weakest assets, he just doesn’t send them into the teeth of the enemy’s finest. How much success would we have had if we sent raw recruits against the Republican Guard?
But that doesn’t meant those recruits don’t play an important part in the plan.