Thanks for all the contributions. Sincerely. I actually feel a little bit better. While I disagree with some pieces of things people have contributed, I commend everyone on not going dark/political to a point where divisions happen quickly and everything devolves. A few thoughts:
-When I say “realistic,” I actually mean PROBABLE. For example, there was some mention of kids being idiots and being irresponsible. That is true. It’s also static for all Covid intents and purposes. If de-idiot’ing college-aged kids and getting them to be responsible over the next 6 months is part of a plan, go back to the drawing board and try again. This is not at all realistic/probable. Being irresponsible and idiotic is a product of years of learned behavior and age. It’s what they do and we have zero chance of stopping that train on a dime. We can ask for their help, but must plan to receive zero from them.
-While I think the election result could help baseball happen, I think it highly dependent upon who wins. For the record, I will not vote for either of the major party candidates and I don’t want to get sucked into who is better or who sucks less. There’s already plenty of that out there. I am skeptical that a trump win would make baseball more likely. Whether you feel he’s earned it or not, I’d hope we all could agree that no one will take it any easier on him if he’s reelected. If anything, it stands to strengthen his opposition’s resolve. Trump could give someone CPR and bring them back from death and there are tens of millions who would find serious problems with that. I’m saying that would be justified or not, but it would certainly be PROBABLE.
-There is confidence one of the current vaccines in trial (I only know of 2) will work well (I’ve read 60% effective would be a win). I honestly don’t know. I know that the flu vaccine is simply our doctor’s best guess for the coming flu season, so I am assuming any Covid vaccine would also simply be our best guess as well. But surely after this many years, our guesses with the flu vaccine are highly educated and refined. Can we assume we’ll guess as accurately on try #1 for Covid? I hope so, but is that PROBABLE? I have no idea, but someone does. Speak up if you do!
-It makes sense to me that if some schools stick with in class learning no matter what, that it could help others follow suit, but does anyone seriously think that’s PROBABLE at this point? We’ll know a lot more in the coming weeks, but as of right now, doesn’t it look most likely that schools will pull back versus stay the course?
-There is a certain percentage of the population that is freaked out. Some are every bit as freaked out today as they were earlier in the year. I do not think it’s PROBABLE that many of them quickly get un-freaked out. Especially when more infections and deaths are 100% guaranteed to happen and for a while. If expecting people to stop being freaked out within the next few months is part of the plan, we’ll need a new plan.
-While I’d agree we will one day get to a “get the vaccine or take your chances” place, that is not PROBABLE to occur in time to help baseball happen in the spring, hence cannot be part of any realistic plan.
Good dialogue by all. Yes, I am scrutinizing some of it, but I promise I'm asking in good faith. Thank you all and keep it coming and as politically benign as possible!