quote:Originally posted by Midlo Dad:
I agree mid 80's is too high for "average". But I think high 70's is too low.
Though my experience is limited to mostly AAA and decent private schools around here. Maybe in smaller school conferences or in other areas where they play less (cold climes?) you see velocity develop less, or less depth on rosters.
I'll tell you one thing, you go out and face any team in our region with a 78 mph fastball, you'd better have some nasty lefty movement or something else to offer. Otherwise your ERA will get into the 10+ range.
Our high school team has 6 pitchers who all throw north of 80, and 4 other guys who could, but who never get to pitch because they're too far down the depth chart.
Midlo,
Unless things have change dramatically in the last 2 years, and judging from what I saw this fall, 80mph for HS pitches is definitely above average.
Don’t take your experience and try to apply it across the board in every school across the country. It won’t work!
I think your estimate of what would happen in your region to someone who only had a 78MPH FB is a bit overblown, and I’m gonna guess that unless a P had something more than an 87MPH FB, he’d be in even more danger of getting whiplash.
What’s the easiest ball there is to hit? I think consensus would agree it was a FB with no movement, thrown over and over. So its not just the guys you consider ****** because they throw slow who need movement or something else to offer. Velocity alone has never been the answer, and never will.
Just for the sake of discussion, what makes you think any pitcher at any level would end up with an ERA over 10, except in a few rare cases where some kind of freaky inning took place, or the total innings were very few, no matter how slow they threw?
Let’s assume you put a normal HS defense on the field, then had the P throw noting but BP FBs as close to right down the middle as possible, and did that for 7 innings. How many runs, let alone earned runs, do you think would score if the defense were really playing like it was an important game, and the offense didn’t get to just sit there and take swing after swing like in a normal BP. IOW, the hitters had to run on balls put in play, and the defense got to make plays, and the entire lineup from top to bottom had to bat.
Do you really believe nearly every ball hit is going to be hit where a glove can’t get it? If you believe that, the next time you watch BP at any level, try to imaging a normal defense out there, making normal plays. And that’s with the hitters getting their 5 or 10 swings with the P doing his best to let them hit the ball!
I’m sure you’re right to some degree, but you’re letting dogma cloud your judgment.
The only comment I can make about your team having 10 kids who can pitch at velocities of 80+ is, it’s the most amazing pitching staff I’ve ever heard about for a HS team. Shoot, at last year’s Regionals, Super Regionals, and CWS, there was at least a couple of P’s on every team who didn’t cruise in the 80’s, and quite a few of them got to pitch on TV and did pretty well.
Being able to throw 1 or 2 pitches out of 50 at 80+ is not the same thing as averaging 80+.
Of course I’ve been away from HS ball for a few years now and am just coming back to it, so I may well be wrong. But having had to occasionally gun pitchers for my son’s JUCO team for 2 seasons, I can tell you that I never saw a game go by that at least 1 P on either team didn’t average well below 80 with his FB.