My 2016 was just diagnosed with a UCL tear. TJ coming up in two weeks.
He really didn't have any of the risk factors, except that he threw relatively (but not remarkably) hard (mid 80s). Pitching innings were pretty low (8 in the fall, 12 in the spring, 15 in the summer). Went to three showcases and two college visits over the past year. Hadn't gone over 65 pitches in an outing in at least a year. No short turnarounds that would violate PitchSmart. Mechanics relatively clean - had some issues with repeatability and timing like most really tall kids do (he's 6-7). But nobody (including the 3 ex-MLB pitchers he's worked with) had ever pointed out any mechanical flaws as being potentially detrimental to his arm. And he was a multi-sport athlete (football & basketball) that had been in a structured, supervised weight-training program for almost 7 years.
Saw his velo starting to fade back in June. When I asked him if his arm was okay, he just said he "wasn't feeling it today." Later it became that his arm "felt a little off." And then "didn't feel right." But never any pain. I asked. Repeatedly. And no inflammation. I looked. Often. (I was getting a bad vibe about the whole thing.)
Until 3 weeks ago in Ft. Myers. That's when he said he first felt pain, but not on every pitch. Finished the inning, which was immediately followed by a lightning delay, during which he told his mother and coach that his arm hurt. They shut him down instantly. Noticeable inflammation the next morning.
Initial exam, doctor was almost positive that it was just a muscle strain in the flexor/pronator bundle. Only ordered MRI as a precaution because he is a pitcher. MRI came back as a complete detachment. (FWIW - Based on our experience I don't buy the "forearm strain as a precursor" theory. In our case the actual tear presented as a forearm strain, but by the time there was pain, it had already happened.)
Everyone stunned - coaches, teammates, us - because he doesn't really fit the profile since he had such a low-mileage arm (he wasn't overused at any age by anyone's reasonable definition that I've ever heard) and was a multi-sport athlete (there goes the Smoltz theory).
The only plausible theory we have heard as to why it happened to him is that because of a recent huge growth spurt (mass, not height - he went from 193 in November to 235 in May) and the general strength training program he was on, his newly developed big-boy muscles simply overpowered the ligament before it had a chance to catch up.
Frustrating, because we are really not sure what we could have/should have done differently. Thankfully, college coach is going to redshirt him and team trainer will oversee rehab. And he has a good support network, including a coach, a former travel ball teammate, and a college teammate that have all gone through it.