Only 12 may have 7 over expected. But how many forced kids out to get below the threshold?
In my opinion it's not about the # of players, it's about the amount of money. I don't believe coaches should be out committing 14.0 scholarships to current/future players when only 11.7 are available. You need 2.3 scholarships cut annually. I have no problem with a coach taking a few more walk-ons and making cuts in that area, when there isn't money attached you know you're expendable. But I refuse to get behind the idea the scholarship players need to be cut because the coach is over budget.
Maybe this strikes a nerve with me because the kid's roommate was cut after hitting .260 in about 25 starts as a covid freshman. The coach sat him down and told him they were over budget and asked him to give up his money. When he said no they told him his power numbers weren't there and he wouldn't be welcome back this fall. In July.
But maybe I don't think it's fair for a kid to commit to a school where the coach tells him he wants him and he passes on other opportunities to find out his money was yanked before signing day. Or for a player to put two years into a program and find out he's not going to be welcome back in the fall. This allows coaches to get lazy with recruitment and vetting. You basically get a 1.5 year free trial to see if a kid pans out. You don't have to really work to develop him because if he's no good after a year you can force him out.
I remember an article in 2013 (ESPN) that spoke about the issue that you've alluded to, so it has not changed, nor will it change in the near future.
18 mos is the average time for scholarship athletes.
Note, doesn't this happen with other sports or any business?
As for coaches "to lazy with recruitment and vetting", that is a slippery slope. The question is, what is their roster management strategy?
For example, what does Abilene Christian do?
If I'm a HS player I might shy away from this school
Looks like they get major of the players from JUCO.
What is their annual player turnover?
Note, each school will have their individual tendencies and the player/parents need to understand this is how life works.