quote:
Originally posted by Backstop-17:
Not to keep punching this bag, but batting averages at the college level too are in for a fall. I just looked at some college team totals, subtracted half the doubles, half the triples, and half the home runs and team batting average dropped anywhere from 50 - 70 points, relative to the power of the team.
And this assumes all singles were maintained. But for sure some of those hard strokes in the hole now become an out at first.
I'm not so sure that that's an accurate portrayal of how batting avg.s will be affected. Taking away half of all extra base hits assumes that those would no longer be hits. i.e. most doubles I see are not hit over the of's head, they are in the gap or down the line. While the balls not traveling as far can be expected, balls hit in the gap or down the line are still hits.
I think we're getting our head out over our ski's by predicting exactly how much power and avg numbers will be impacted. The game will be changed, but we are looking at it myopically.
Take for instance, field turf fields. You don't see many Texas leaguers hit on field turf. Why? Because the ball goes through the infield so fast the infielders play way behind the infield, decreasing the gap between the OF and IF. Now if balls don't travel as fast off the bat or through the IF, then the IF's are going to have to play closer, otherwise slow rollers will be base hits. This opens up the IF-OF gap for Texas Leaguers. So before, when moderate hitters would tear loose hoping to jack one out, now they're going to be coached to do the Juan Pierre slap hit over the IF.
The game will change, but much more than just numbers. Necessity is the Mother of invention. The whole approach will be changed, at the plate, offensively, defensively. The ones that adapt quickest and recognize an opponents weakness in their ability to adapt, will be king of the heap for a couple of years.