I think everyone adds something of value in this topic.
I strongly believe a lot has to do with where you live. Here in FL there are no D3 or NAIA programs. Choices are 3 P5 programs, numerous D2 mostly private programs, many of which are very, very expensive and many ranked Jucos. So when asked, as I have been on occassion I have recommended the Juco route as they are extremely affordable for FL players to gain admission and a chance to play at FL mid D1 programs. Ideal for most but thinking that perhaps that might not always be the best advice considering the current situation.
I do know of players that because of prepay and lottery $$$, almost 2 free years of Juco was worth more than a private D2 or D1 walk on. That worked for them and their financial situations. Many do head to D3 programs up north.
I didn't read all of the posts but have noticed a trend. Players attending smaller mid d1 programs, getting good to excellent instruction by younger coaching staffs are moving up to P5 for draft opportunity.
I agree, a player has to explore all options with the biggest factor being, go where you will play not where you think you might play! As far as the love, the coach may love you but that doesn't mean you will play as much as you would like.
Help your player to understand that their ability and HOW HARD they work at becoming a better player will dictate success, at any level.
I like the idea of the portal. I don't think it was put in place necessarily to benefit college baseball but it's here and its not going away.
What I don't care for is the idea of bringing players into your program thinking they will make it better. If that were the case you would not see so many coaches and their staff getting replaced.
JMO