quote:
Originally posted by ClevelandDad:
I agree that college stats don't necessarily translate to pro performance. That said, I've seen them both pitch about three times each which is obviously a small sample size. I like Bauer because he seems to get more movement on his pitches. His fastball does not seem quite as flat as Cole. I think Bauer is a better pitcher.
PG - what's your take?
Things like movement can be worked on. Bauer may be a bit tougher mentally, which is a plus.
I would be interested in PG's take too!
OK, here are my opinions, FWIW
If I had a game tomorrow I would pick Bauer right now. However, earlier in the year Cole was considered the number one pitching prospecxt for this year's draft and for very good reason.
I actually haven't seen much of Gerritt this year, but before this year he had the best "stuff" I've ever seen in an amateur pitcher. His fastball had exceptional life and was far from straight. His breaking ball was devestating and I still think his changeup might end up being his best pitch at the ML level. Three ++ pitches and upper 90s velocity with life. I actually thought Cole was the top pitcher in the draft coming out of high school. I'm sure he would have went much earlier in the first round had he been more signable. In fact, he turned down millions from the Yankees to attend UCLA.
Command will dictate his future. Like many power pitchers, hitters tend to take more pitches. This causes problems in two ways. Lots of hitters counts (too many 2-0, 3-1 counts) and it drives up the pitch counts. Great stuff out of the zone is worthless unless the hitter swings. That most often happens when the pitcher is ahead in the count.
I'm surprised by his season this year. I'm sure it has been a concern to some scouting departments. Maybe it's a case of "draftitis" and once the draft is over we will see the domination we expect.
Anyway, both pitchers (Cole and Bauer)are likely top 5-10 picks IMO. Bauer is outstanding, no question about it. However, if it were my money being spent, I'd pick Gerritt Cole provided he is healthy. I invision him as a dominating #1 in the rotation guy. Some might see Bauer in the same light. That curve ball is a doozy.
In the end, you have to try to guess how well their ability translates to the Major Leagues. In that regard I would take Cole over any other pitcher in this draft. Then probably Danny Hultzen or Dylan Bundy. After that, based on ability alone, it would be Bauer near the top of a group of several. Archie Bradley, Jose Fernandez, Sonny Gray, Taylor Jungmann, Daniel Norris,Alex Meyer,Jed Bradley, Taylor Guerrieri, Robert Stephenson, Dillon Howard, and there are others, not in any specific order.
This is a great draft year for pitchers. Guys who would normally be easy first round picks are likely to be dissapointed.
Also I would pick Matt Purke in a heartbeat right near the top if I had a complete medical on him. If healthy he is as good as anyone.
Mentioning these names, I'm sure I've missed someone. And never take anything I might say as the Gospel.