While lengthy, I think this is a nicely done summary of the "risks," the "risk takers" and why both sides are seemingly willing to take the risks, with the summary of Brady Aiken, if true, being quite poignant. It is also interesting to see Stan Conte of the Dodgers now turning this into a cost issue noting that the DL in MLB is now a tab of $655,000,000 per year, when the salaries of those on the DL are factored into the equation.
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_...surgeries-cease-soon
From this, one comes away with the idea that behavior changes need to occur, but they are not likely to occur unless they are economically driven, from the top, no matter what opinions Dr Andrews, Dr Fleissig or any other group of medical experts might advocate.
While certainly not as life threatening, is the "risk" of overuse injury in baseball any different than the risk football players are now encountering with the emerging information on both the short and long term impact of head trauma and concussion?
Clearly, that research is only in its formative stages but seems compelling. For a very few, like Chris Borland, the information and risk assessment caused him to change his behavior and no longer play in the NFL. For 99%, it is a risk they continue to accept, either knowingly or ????.
For baseball, shoulder surgeries and failed recoveries are, to be honest, a charade in terms of available information. While the numbers of shoulder surgeries appears to be on the decline, the population which recover to play even at their former levels was reported in 2008 to be less than 1 in 4.
For TJ, clearly most think it is a temporary setback and risk to be taken. Riding that fine edge of "risk" is worth it, especially for the players this thread, for whatever reason, continues to emphasize: the elite players drafted at the highest levels.
From a purely personal perspective, most of our sons will never reach the top 2 rounds of the draft. They are the nameless ones no one can cite but they are so important to us because they are our sons and they love baseball.
For them, one of the greatest parts of baseball can be the opportunity to compete and play in college, especially at a National level, whether it be JC, NAIA, D3, D2 or D1.
For a parent, watching their son on a quality college baseball team can be special. Personally, I am not sure I will ever forget the impression when ESPN scanned to justbaseball in the stands in Omaha in the 2008 CWS when his son was on the mound. For me, having this discussion is truly is about the opportunity for the player on and especially after HS, emphasizing the experience which college baseball can provide.
This year Stanford lost their #1, #2 and #3 pitchers for either all or most of the season. The #1 had TJ at a point where he missed nearly all of 2015 and probably will miss most of 2016, when he will be drafted. The kid who could have been their #1 is no longer even on the roster and pitched less than 5 innings over two years, a career lost to shoulder problems.
Just yesterday I was talking with the Dad of a local D1 who underwent TJ in May after being shutdown in late March, so he will miss most of 2015 and all of 2016.
This is truly all about a risk assessment. On the one side is the goal post...drafted or top D1 baseball and all the "apparent" exposure which parents and players feel is required from ages now 14-18 to get to the goal post.
On the other side is the risk, which is real but not to be quantifiable in numbers for any player, parent or travel team and showcase folks, each of whom play a role in riding the edge of the "risks" of exposure vs injury vs. the goal post.
Frankly, each position in the risk assessment can rationalize a perspective, shoot the messenger, undermine the message and justify their position. Just my view, but realizing there are no true "answers," only some appreciation of the risks and factors known or thought to generate risk from overuse vs necessary exposure vs unnecessary exposure vs the goal post, vs Zach Greinke vs Dr Andrews should be the goal of this discussion.
Understanding that the player has a mindset to do everything to compete and the more they compete the higher level they want to compete, and the higher intensity they will exert, the responsibility for an informed risk assessment falls on folks like us who post here. Information is golden for those who approach baseball from the different perspectives available on the HSBBW. There is plenty of information on this thread from every perspective and certainly from the opposites on ideology.
Hopefully those reading this who have sons like ours, a really nice player but not mentioned in the same paragraphs as those discussed previously will benefit from knowing there can be risks associated with exposure, such as the one the scouting bureau reportedly created Brady for Aiken in January of 2014.
There can also be experiences never to be forgotten in terms of baseball, and appreciating the Aiken situation, avoiding risk and eliminating risk cannot be a deterrent to achieving those. In fact, overcoming through adversity and risk will often make the experience be felt at levels never anticipated.